AVS vs Guimaraes Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 16:30
AVS
11 Full time
Guimaraes
AVS 1–1 Guimaraes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 29%
Away 51%

💡 Guimaraes are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1338 v 1456 Guimaraes rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Guimaraes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1456 vs 1338).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Guimaraes
Form Index
Guimaraes
Goal expectation
Guimaraes
Home advantage
AVS

Green = favours AVS · Blue = favours Guimaraes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AVSDDLDL0.6 ppg
GuimaraesDLLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
AVS1338
Guimaraes1456
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 33% · 37%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning6% · 45% · 49%

AI match preview

AVS host Guimaraes in a Primeira Liga clash where the model favors an away win with a 51% probability, though a draw at 29% remains a strong possibility. Both teams are projected to score roughly one goal each, suggesting a tight contest likely to end around 1-1. With under 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 AVS 1–1 Guimaraes
Nov 2025 Guimaraes 4–0 AVS