Estoril vs Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 21:30
Estoril
13 Full time
Porto
Estoril 1–3 Porto

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 24%
Away 61%

💡 Porto are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1701 Porto rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estoril v Porto

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Why we predict this

  • Porto is the stronger side on Power Rating (1701 vs 1503).
  • Porto is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Porto
Form Index
Porto
Goal expectation
Porto
Home advantage
Estoril

Green = favours Estoril · Blue = favours Porto. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstorilLDWLL0.8 ppg
PortoWDWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Estoril1503
Porto1701
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 23% · 63%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 58%
Machine-learning4% · 48% · 48%

AI match preview

Porto enters this Primeira Liga clash at Estoril as clear favorites, with a 61% chance of an away win according to model projections. The expected goals tally suggests Porto could net around two goals while limiting Estoril to less than one, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a modest 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a balanced 50% for both teams to score, this match could offer competitive moments—remember, these are statistical forecasts and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.83 – 2.00

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Estoril 1–3 Porto
Nov 2025 Porto 1–0 Estoril