Tondela vs Gil Vicente Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 13 Apr, 21:15
Tondela
22 Full time
Gil Vicente
Tondela 2–2 Gil Vicente

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 31%
Away 49%

💡 Gil Vicente are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1389 v 1542 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tondela v Gil Vicente

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1542 vs 1389).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.2 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours Gil Vicente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaWDLDL1.0 ppg
Gil VicenteLDDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1389
Gil Vicente1542
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 34% · 49%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning4% · 49% · 47%

AI match preview

Tondela face Gil Vicente in a Primeira Liga clash where the model favors an away win at 49%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 31%. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring encounter, with Gil Vicente likely edging it 1-0 in a tight contest. With only a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious game; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.64 – 1.22

Most likely score

0-1

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Tondela 2–2 Gil Vicente
Nov 2025 Gil Vicente 0–1 Tondela