Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 18 Apr, 19:00
Casa Pia
00 Full time
Santa Clara
Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 29%
Away 40%

💡 Santa Clara have a slight edge — leaning Santa Clara, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1412 v 1432 Santa Clara rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1412 vs 1432).
  • Santa Clara is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Santa Clara
Form Index
Santa Clara
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Casa Pia

Green = favours Casa Pia · Blue = favours Santa Clara. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Casa PiaDDLDL0.6 ppg
Santa ClaraWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Casa Pia1412
Santa Clara1432
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 29% · 36%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning28% · 27% · 45%

AI match preview

Casa Pia and Santa Clara are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors at 40%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. Both sides are projected to score, with an expected balanced goal output around 1.3 each, making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, this match could offer some goalmouth action, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara
Dec 2025 Santa Clara 1–0 Casa Pia