Guimaraes vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 25 Apr, 21:30
Guimaraes
20 Full time
Rio Ave
Guimaraes 2–0 Rio Ave

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 Guimaraes are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1470 v 1446 Guimaraes rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Guimaraes v Rio Ave

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1470 vs 1446).
  • Rio Ave is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Guimaraes
Form Index
Rio Ave
Goal expectation
Guimaraes
Home advantage
Guimaraes

Green = favours Guimaraes · Blue = favours Rio Ave. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GuimaraesLLWDW1.4 ppg
Rio AveWWLWD2 ppg
Power Rating
Guimaraes1470
Rio Ave1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 27% · 24%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning48% · 23% · 30%

AI match preview

Guimaraes holds a slight edge with a 52% chance to claim victory against Rio Ave in this Primeira Liga clash, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 24%. The model projects a competitive match with an expected goals tally of 1.73 for the home side and 1.15 for the visitors, suggesting a likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Guimaraes 2–0 Rio Ave
Dec 2025 Rio Ave 0–1 Guimaraes