Estoril vs Famalicao Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 16:30
Estoril
01 Full time
Famalicao
Estoril 0–1 Famalicao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 28%
Away 43%

💡 Famalicao have a slight edge — leaning Famalicao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1549 Famalicao rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estoril v Famalicao

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Famalicao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1482).
  • Famalicao is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Famalicao
Form Index
Famalicao
Goal expectation
Estoril
Home advantage
Estoril

Green = favours Estoril · Blue = favours Famalicao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstorilWLLLL0.6 ppg
FamalicaoWWDDD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Estoril1482
Famalicao1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 29% · 29%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning21% · 39% · 39%

AI match preview

Estoril and Famalicao face off in a closely matched Primeira Liga encounter, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 43% probability. Despite Famalicao's edge, the expected goals suggest a tight game likely to end around 1-1, supported by a near-even chance of a draw at 28%. With a 54% probability of both teams scoring and just under half the chances for over 2.5 goals, this matchup promises competitive action; remember these projections are statistical and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Estoril 0–1 Famalicao
Dec 2025 Famalicao 4–0 Estoril