Estrela vs Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 19:00
Estrela
12 Full time
Porto
Estrela 1–2 Porto

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (70%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 9%
Draw 21%
Away 70%

💡 Porto are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 84.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1414 v 1714 Porto rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Porto is the stronger side on Power Rating (1714 vs 1414).
  • Porto is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Porto
Form Index
Porto
Goal expectation
Porto
Home advantage
Estrela

Green = favours Estrela · Blue = favours Porto. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstrelaLWLLL0.6 ppg
PortoWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Estrela1414
Porto1714
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 19% · 73%
Power Rating18% · 12% · 70%
Machine-learning1% · 39% · 61%

AI match preview

Porto enters their Primeira Liga clash at Estrela as strong favorites, with a 70% probability of securing an away win and a confidence rating of 84/100. The model predicts a 2.23 expected goals tally for Porto against Estrela's 0.63, suggesting a 0-2 scoreline as the most likely outcome. While there's a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals at 54%, both teams scoring is less probable at 43%; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.63 – 2.23

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Estrela 1–2 Porto
Dec 2025 Porto 3–1 Estrela