AVS vs Sp Lisbon Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 21:30
AVS
11 Full time
Sp Lisbon
AVS 1–1 Sp Lisbon

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (79%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 6%
Draw 15%
Away 79%

💡 Sp Lisbon are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1345 v 1701 Sp Lisbon rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AVS v Sp Lisbon

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Why we predict this

  • Sp Lisbon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1701 vs 1345).
  • Sp Lisbon is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Lisbon
Form Index
Sp Lisbon
Goal expectation
Sp Lisbon
Home advantage
AVS

Green = favours AVS · Blue = favours Sp Lisbon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AVSLDLDD0.6 ppg
Sp LisbonDWWWL2 ppg
Power Rating
AVS1345
Sp Lisbon1701
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model4% · 13% · 83%
Power Rating14% · 12% · 74%
Machine-learning0% · 32% · 68%

AI match preview

AVS face a tough challenge at home against Sp Lisbon, who hold a strong 79% probability to secure an away win according to model projections. The expected goals heavily favor the visitors with 2.70 compared to AVS's 0.50, suggesting a likely 0-2 scoreline. With a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals but only 37% for both teams to score, this match leans towards a decisive Sp Lisbon victory; remember these are statistical forecasts and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.50 – 2.70

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 AVS 1–1 Sp Lisbon
Dec 2025 Sp Lisbon 6–0 AVS