Famalicao vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 19:00
Famalicao
22 Full time
Benfica
Famalicao 2–2 Benfica

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 27%
Away 54%

💡 Benfica are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1698 Benfica rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Famalicao v Benfica

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Why we predict this

  • Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1698 vs 1560).
  • Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Benfica
Form Index
Benfica
Goal expectation
Benfica
Home advantage
Famalicao

Green = favours Famalicao · Blue = favours Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FamalicaoWDDDW1.8 ppg
BenficaWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Famalicao1560
Benfica1698
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 35% · 41%
Power Rating32% · 20% · 48%
Machine-learning6% · 36% · 58%

AI match preview

Famalicao hosts Benfica in a Primeira Liga clash where the visitors hold a 54% probability of victory, reflecting a moderate confidence level of 61/100. Despite Benfica's edge, the model projects a low-scoring encounter with an expected goals tally of 0.79 for Famalicao and 1.10 for Benfica, and intriguingly, a 0-0 draw is the most likely scoreline. With only a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this match could be a tight, tactical battle; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.79 – 1.10

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Famalicao 2–2 Benfica
Dec 2025 Benfica 1–0 Famalicao