Sp Lisbon vs Guimaraes Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 4 May, 21:15
Sp Lisbon
51 Full time
Guimaraes
Sp Lisbon 5–1 Guimaraes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (79%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 79%
Draw 13%
Away 9%

💡 Sp Lisbon are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1685 v 1482 Sp Lisbon rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sp Lisbon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1685 vs 1482).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Lisbon
Form Index
Guimaraes
Goal expectation
Sp Lisbon
Home advantage
Sp Lisbon

Green = favours Sp Lisbon · Blue = favours Guimaraes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sp LisbonWWLDD1.6 ppg
GuimaraesLWDWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Sp Lisbon1685
Guimaraes1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model84% · 12% · 4%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning94% · 3% · 3%

AI match preview

Sp Lisbon enters this Primeira Liga clash as strong favorites with a 79% chance of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.91 compared to Guimaraes' 0.54. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline is most probable, with a 67% likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring is less expected at 40%. These projections provide insight based on statistical analysis, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.91 – 0.54

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sp Lisbon 5–1 Guimaraes
Dec 2025 Guimaraes 1–4 Sp Lisbon