Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 11 May, 21:15
Estrela
00 Full time
Famalicao
Estrela 0–0 Famalicao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 30%
Away 46%

💡 Famalicao are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1402 v 1563 Famalicao rated higher
Form Index 0 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Famalicao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1563 vs 1402).
  • Famalicao is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Famalicao
Form Index
Famalicao
Goal expectation
Famalicao
Home advantage
Estrela

Green = favours Estrela · Blue = favours Famalicao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstrelaLLLLL0 ppg
FamalicaoDDDWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Estrela1402
Famalicao1563
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 33% · 38%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning7% · 44% · 50%

AI match preview

Estrela hosts Famalicao in a Primeira Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 46%, though a draw holds a strong 30% probability. With expected goals close between both sides (1.01 for Estrela and 1.19 for Famalicao), a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. Goals may be limited, as the chance of over 2.5 goals is just 38%, and both teams scoring stands at 46%; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Estrela 0–0 Famalicao
Dec 2025 Famalicao 2–3 Estrela