Gil Vicente vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 11 May, 21:15
Gil Vicente
13 Full time
Arouca
Gil Vicente 1–3 Arouca

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 21%
Away 19%

💡 Gil Vicente are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1529 v 1451 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1529 vs 1451).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Gil Vicente
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Gil Vicente

Green = favours Gil Vicente · Blue = favours Arouca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Gil VicenteWDLWD1.6 ppg
AroucaWLWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Gil Vicente1529
Arouca1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 21% · 12%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning68% · 17% · 15%

AI match preview

Gil Vicente enter this Primeira Liga clash with a 60% chance of securing a home win, backed by a solid expected goals advantage of 2.18 to 0.84 over Arouca. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a moderate 58% likelihood of the match seeing over 2.5 goals and a near-even 52% chance for both teams to score. These projections are based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.18 – 0.84

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Gil Vicente 1–3 Arouca
Dec 2025 Arouca 2–2 Gil Vicente