Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 11 May, 21:15
Santa Clara
20 Full time
Nacional
Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Santa Clara have a slight edge — leaning Santa Clara, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1442 Santa Clara rated higher
Form Index 1 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1450 vs 1442).
  • Nacional is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Santa Clara
Form Index
Nacional
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Santa Clara

Green = favours Santa Clara · Blue = favours Nacional. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Santa ClaraLLDWD1 ppg
NacionalWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Santa Clara1450
Nacional1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 37% · 30%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 32%
Machine-learning42% · 23% · 36%

AI match preview

Santa Clara and Nacional are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41%, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score under one goal each, suggesting a tight match potentially ending goalless, as reflected by the 0-0 most likely scoreline. With only a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, fans should expect a cautious encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 0.83

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional
Jan 2026 Nacional 3–3 Santa Clara