Estoril vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 21:30
Estoril
13 Full time
Benfica
Estoril 1–3 Benfica

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (68%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 20%
Away 68%

💡 Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1478 v 1691 Benfica rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1691 vs 1478).
  • Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Benfica
Form Index
Benfica
Goal expectation
Benfica
Home advantage
Estoril

Green = favours Estoril · Blue = favours Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstorilLLLDD0.4 ppg
BenficaWWWDD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Estoril1478
Benfica1691
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 23% · 63%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 61%
Machine-learning4% · 40% · 56%

AI match preview

Estoril host Benfica in a Primeira Liga clash where the visitors are favored with a 68% chance of winning, backed by a strong confidence score of 81/100. The model projects Benfica to score more than twice Estoril’s expected 0.93 goals, though a 1-1 draw remains the most likely exact scoreline. With a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an open contest; as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.93 – 2.08

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Estoril 1–3 Benfica
Jan 2026 Benfica 3–1 Estoril