Sp Lisbon vs Gil Vicente Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 21:30
Sp Lisbon
30 Full time
Gil Vicente
Sp Lisbon 3–0 Gil Vicente

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (78%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 78%
Draw 13%
Away 9%

💡 Sp Lisbon are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1701 v 1506 Sp Lisbon rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sp Lisbon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1701 vs 1506).
  • Sp Lisbon is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Lisbon
Form Index
Sp Lisbon
Goal expectation
Sp Lisbon
Home advantage
Sp Lisbon

Green = favours Sp Lisbon · Blue = favours Gil Vicente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sp LisbonLDDWW1.6 ppg
Gil VicenteDLWDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Sp Lisbon1701
Gil Vicente1506
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 21% · 11%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning91% · 5% · 3%

AI match preview

Sp Lisbon enters this Primeira Liga clash with a strong 78% probability of securing a home victory against Gil Vicente, backed by a high confidence level of 95/100. The model anticipates a 2-0 scoreline, with expected goals favoring the hosts at 2.19 compared to 0.76 for the visitors. While over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance and both teams to score stands at 49%, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.19 – 0.76

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sp Lisbon 3–0 Gil Vicente
Jan 2026 Gil Vicente 1–1 Sp Lisbon