Elche vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 15:15
Elche
31 Full time
Villarreal
Elche 3–1 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 25%
Away 55%

💡 Villarreal are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1363 v 1530 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index LLDDL v WWDWL Elche 0.4 · Villarreal 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1530 vs 1363).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLLDDL0.4 ppg
VillarrealWWDWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1363
Villarreal1530
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 35% · 51%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning23% · 25% · 53%

AI match preview

Elche host Villarreal in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 55% chance of victory, according to our model, with a confidence level of 63 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a tight game, with Villarreal slightly favored to score more (1.13 expected) than Elche (0.47), yet the most likely score predicted is a 0-0 draw. Low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (22%) and both teams to score (27%) indicate a cautious encounter, but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.47 – 1.13

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 22%

Under 78%

Both teams to score

Yes 27%

No 73%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Elche 3–1 Villarreal
Sept 2022 Villarreal 4–0 Elche