Girona vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 15:15
Girona
10 Full time
Valencia
Girona 1–0 Valencia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 29%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1470 Girona rated higher
Form Index DDWLL v LLDLL Girona 1.0 · Valencia 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1476 vs 1470).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDDWLL1.0 ppg
ValenciaLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1476
Valencia1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 28% · 27%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning41% · 34% · 24%

AI match preview

Girona and Valencia are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 43% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. Expected goals suggest a tight encounter, with Girona edging Valencia 1.63 to 1.22 and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The match also has moderate chances for over 2.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (58%), highlighting potential attacking moments; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Girona 1–0 Valencia
Aug 2022 Valencia 1–0 Girona