Sociedad vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 17:30
Sociedad
01 Full time
Valladolid
Sociedad 0–1 Valladolid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 23%
Away 13%

💡 Sociedad are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1587 v 1434 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index WWWWD v LLLLW Sociedad 2.6 · Valladolid 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Valladolid

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1587 vs 1434).
  • Sociedad is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadWWWWD2.6 ppg
ValladolidLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1587
Valladolid1434
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 23% · 12%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning59% · 34% · 7%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad are favored to claim victory over Valladolid with a 64% probability, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.92 to 0.70. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, reflecting Sociedad's stronger offensive edge. While under 2.5 goals and no both teams to score scenarios are slightly more probable, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.92 – 0.70

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Sociedad 0–1 Valladolid
Oct 2022 Valladolid 1–0 Sociedad