Vallecano vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Mon 6 Feb, 20:00
Vallecano
20 Full time
Almeria
Vallecano 2–0 Almeria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 25%
Away 22%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1516 v 1478 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DLWLW v DLDDW Vallecano 1.4 · Almeria 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Almeria

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1516 vs 1478).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDLWLW1.4 ppg
AlmeriaDLDDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1516
Almeria1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 25% · 15%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning54% · 25% · 21%

AI match preview

Vallecano hold a 53% chance of securing a home victory against Almeria in this La Liga clash, with the model suggesting a moderately confident edge in their favor. Despite the home side’s expected goals advantage (1.86 to 0.85), the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, indicating a competitive match. With just over half the projections favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans should anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Vallecano 2–0 Almeria
Oct 2022 Almeria 3–1 Vallecano