Valencia vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 11 Feb, 20:00
Valencia
12 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Valencia 1–2 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (37%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 27%
Away 37%

💡 Ath Bilbao have a slight edge — leaning Ath Bilbao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1461 v 1511 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v DLLLW Valencia 0.2 · Ath Bilbao 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1511 vs 1461).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLDLLL0.2 ppg
Ath BilbaoDLLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1461
Ath Bilbao1511
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 26% · 26%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning39% · 23% · 38%

AI match preview

Valencia and Athletic Bilbao are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors at 37% probability versus 36% for the home side. Despite Athletic Bilbao's marginal advantage, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a tight battle with expected goals favoring Valencia 1.81 to 1.30. Fans can anticipate a lively game with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% probability of both teams scoring; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Valencia 1–2 Ath Bilbao
Aug 2022 Ath Bilbao 1–0 Valencia