Getafe vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 13:00
Getafe
11 Full time
Vallecano
Getafe 1–1 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 29%
Away 41%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1528 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index LLLLD v LWLWW Getafe 0.2 · Vallecano 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Getafe v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1528 vs 1446).
  • Vallecano is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Getafe

Green = favours Getafe · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GetafeLLLLD0.2 ppg
VallecanoLWLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Getafe1446
Vallecano1528
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 31% · 47%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning35% · 18% · 48%

AI match preview

Getafe host Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, according to the model. The match is projected to be closely contested with an expected 1-1 scoreline and a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring (45%). While the probability of over 2.5 goals is relatively low at 39%, these projections reflect statistical probabilities—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.86 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Getafe 1–1 Vallecano
Oct 2022 Vallecano 0–0 Getafe