Girona vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Fri 17 Feb, 20:00
Girona
62 Full time
Almeria
Girona 6–2 Almeria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 25%
Away 23%

💡 Girona are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1455 Girona rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v DDWLL Girona 1.2 · Almeria 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Almeria

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1455).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaWLLWL1.2 ppg
AlmeriaDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1469
Almeria1455
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 24% · 14%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning50% · 27% · 23%

AI match preview

Girona holds a 53% chance of securing a home victory against Almeria, with the model projecting an expected goals tally of 1.98 to 0.86 in their favor. The most probable scoreline is 2-0, reflecting Girona's slight edge, while the match has a fairly balanced likelihood of over 2.5 goals (54%) and both teams scoring (51%). These projections highlight potential outcomes but remember to consider them as statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.98 – 0.86

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Girona 6–2 Almeria
Oct 2022 Almeria 3–2 Girona