Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 18 Feb, 20:00
Osasuna
02 Full time
Real Madrid
Osasuna 0–2 Real Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 22%
Away 57%

💡 Real Madrid are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1499 v 1624 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index WDLDD v WDWLW Osasuna 1.2 · Real Madrid 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Real Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1624 vs 1499).
  • Real Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaWDLDD1.2 ppg
Real MadridWDWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1499
Real Madrid1624
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 28% · 51%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning16% · 8% · 76%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Real Madrid in a La Liga clash where the away side holds a 57% chance of victory, reflecting a solid edge but not a certainty. The model projects a closely contested game with an expected goal tally favoring Real Madrid slightly (1.58 to 0.91), yet the most likely score remains a 1-1 draw. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, this match could hinge on tight margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 1.58

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Osasuna 0–2 Real Madrid
Oct 2022 Real Madrid 1–1 Osasuna