Ath Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 19 Feb, 17:30
Ath Madrid
10 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Ath Madrid 1–0 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 26%
Away 26%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1563 v 1522 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v LLLWW Ath Madrid 2.2 · Ath Bilbao 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Madrid v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1563 vs 1522).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridDWWDW2.2 ppg
Ath BilbaoLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1563
Ath Bilbao1522
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 28% · 31%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning47% · 27% · 27%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid host Athletic Bilbao in a closely contested La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight advantage with a 48% chance of victory, while a draw or away win each stand at 26%. The expected goals suggest a tight match with 1.58 for Atletico and 1.33 for Bilbao, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate an open and competitive game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.33

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Ath Madrid 1–0 Ath Bilbao
Oct 2022 Ath Bilbao 0–1 Ath Madrid