Ath Bilbao vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 26 Feb, 13:00
Ath Bilbao
23 Full time
Girona
Ath Bilbao 2–3 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 23%
Away 21%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1485 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LLWWL v LLWLW Ath Bilbao 1.2 · Girona 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Girona

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1514 vs 1485).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoLLWWL1.2 ppg
GironaLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1514
Girona1485
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 27% · 14%
Power Rating52% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning53% · 21% · 26%

AI match preview

Athletic Bilbao enter this La Liga clash with a 56% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.63 compared to Girona’s 0.70. The model favors a tight 1-0 victory, reflecting a contest that may lean towards a low-scoring affair with just a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams scoring. These projections provide a statistical outlook but remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 0.70

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Ath Bilbao 2–3 Girona
Nov 2022 Girona 2–1 Ath Bilbao