Celta vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 26 Feb, 15:15
Celta
30 Full time
Valladolid
Celta 3–0 Valladolid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 26%
Away 21%

💡 Celta are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1444 Celta rated higher
Form Index LWWLD v LWWDL Celta 1.4 · Valladolid 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1456 vs 1444).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaLWWLD1.4 ppg
ValladolidLWWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1456
Valladolid1444
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 28% · 18%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning48% · 34% · 18%

AI match preview

Celta hold a slight edge at home with a 53% chance of victory against Valladolid, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 26%. The model projects a modest goal tally, estimating 1.60 expected goals for Celta and 0.84 for Valladolid, with a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely result. With under 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just under 50%, fans can expect a competitive match; remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.84

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Celta 3–0 Valladolid
Oct 2022 Valladolid 4–1 Celta