Almeria vs Barcelona Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 26 Feb, 17:30
Almeria
10 Full time
Barcelona
Almeria 1–0 Barcelona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 18%
Away 67%

💡 Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1684 Barcelona rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v WWWWW Almeria 0.8 · Barcelona 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Barcelona

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Why we predict this

  • Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1684 vs 1439).
  • Barcelona is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barcelona
Form Index
Barcelona
Goal expectation
Barcelona
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Barcelona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaDWLLL0.8 ppg
BarcelonaWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1439
Barcelona1684
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model13% · 22% · 65%
Power Rating23% · 12% · 65%
Machine-learning12% · 14% · 74%

AI match preview

Barcelona are favored to win at Almeria with a 67% probability, supported by a strong confidence score of 81/100. The model projects a 0-2 scoreline, reflecting Barcelona’s expected 2.12 goals compared to Almeria’s 0.87, while there’s a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals (57%) and both teams scoring (52%). These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly; always gamble within your limits (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.87 – 2.12

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Almeria 1–0 Barcelona
Nov 2022 Barcelona 2–0 Almeria