Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 26 Feb, 20:00
Sevilla
23 Full time
Osasuna
Sevilla 2–3 Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 29%
Away 23%

💡 Sevilla are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1483 v 1485 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index WWLWD v DLDDL Sevilla 2.0 · Osasuna 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1483 vs 1485).
  • Sevilla is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Sevilla
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaWWLWD2.0 ppg
OsasunaDLDDL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1483
Osasuna1485
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 39% · 28%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning42% · 33% · 25%

AI match preview

Sevilla and Osasuna face off in a tightly contested La Liga clash where the model gives a slight edge to the home side with a 48% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. Both teams are projected to score modestly, with expected goals at 0.84 for Sevilla and 0.75 for Osasuna, making a goalless draw the most probable scoreline. With low chances for over 2.5 goals (21%) and both teams scoring (32%), this match could hinge on a single moment; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.84 – 0.75

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 32%

No 68%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Sevilla 2–3 Osasuna
Aug 2022 Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla