Almeria vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 4 Mar, 15:15
Almeria
02 Full time
Villarreal
Almeria 0–2 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 29%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1455 v 1495 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1455 vs 1495).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Almeria
Goal expectation
Almeria
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaWLLLW1.2 ppg
VillarrealLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1455
Villarreal1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 30% · 25%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning34% · 38% · 28%

AI match preview

Almeria and Villarreal are set for a closely contested La Liga encounter, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 37% over a home victory at 34%. The expected goals suggest a tight match, likely ending in a 1-1 draw, which is also the pick with a 29% probability and moderate confidence. With a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a competitive and potentially balanced game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Almeria 0–2 Villarreal
Oct 2022 Villarreal 2–1 Almeria