Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 5 Mar, 17:30
Vallecano
00 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Vallecano 0–0 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 28%
Away 33%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1500 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1512 vs 1500).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoWWDDL1.6 ppg
Ath BilbaoLWWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1512
Ath Bilbao1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 28% · 32%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning43% · 27% · 31%

AI match preview

Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao are poised for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the home side slightly favored at 39% to edge a win, while the visitors hold a 33% chance to claim victory. Both teams are expected to find the net, as reflected in a 59% probability for BTTS and a projected 1-1 scoreline, supported by expected goals of 1.49 for Vallecano and 1.33 for Bilbao. With over 2.5 goals at 54%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.33

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Vallecano 0–0 Ath Bilbao
Sept 2022 Ath Bilbao 3–2 Vallecano