Osasuna vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Mon 6 Mar, 20:00
Osasuna
00 Full time
Celta
Osasuna 0–0 Celta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Osasuna have a slight edge — leaning Osasuna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1498 v 1471 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1498 vs 1471).
  • Celta is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaLDDLW1.0 ppg
CeltaWWLDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1498
Celta1471
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 30% · 22%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning54% · 21% · 26%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Celta in a La Liga clash where the model gives the home side a 44% chance of victory, slightly edging out a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with Osasuna projected to net 1.44 times compared to Celta's 0.90, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With just a 42% probability for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, this match could be tightly contested—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Osasuna 0–0 Celta
Nov 2022 Celta 1–2 Osasuna