Elche vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 15:15
Elche
11 Full time
Valladolid
Elche 1–1 Valladolid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 33%

💡 Elche have a slight edge — leaning Elche, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1376 v 1440 Valladolid rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Valladolid

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Why we predict this

  • Valladolid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1440 vs 1376).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Valladolid
Form Index
Valladolid
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheWLLLW1.2 ppg
ValladolidWDLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1376
Valladolid1440
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 32% · 27%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning37% · 32% · 32%

AI match preview

Elche and Valladolid are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 38%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight match, projecting 1.28 for Elche and 0.99 for Valladolid, with 1-1 as the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored and a 47% chance both teams score, this encounter could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Elche 1–1 Valladolid
Nov 2022 Valladolid 2–1 Elche