Celta vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 17:30
Celta
30 Full time
Vallecano
Celta 3–0 Vallecano

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Celta have a slight edge — leaning Celta, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1474 v 1510 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1474 vs 1510).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaWLDWD1.6 ppg
VallecanoWDDLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1474
Vallecano1510
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 32% · 36%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 27% · 36%

AI match preview

Celta and Vallecano are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving Celta a slight edge at 42% to secure the win, while a draw holds a 28% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a nearly even chance of a BTTS outcome at 48%, and the most likely scoreline projected as 1-1. Fans should note these are statistical forecasts and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Celta 3–0 Vallecano
Nov 2022 Vallecano 0–0 Celta