Valencia vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 20:00
Valencia
10 Full time
Osasuna
Valencia 1–0 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 29%
Away 26%

💡 Valencia have a slight edge — leaning Valencia, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1496 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1496 vs 1450).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLLLWL0.6 ppg
OsasunaDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1450
Osasuna1496
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 33% · 24%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning46% · 25% · 29%

AI match preview

Valencia, with a 45% chance of victory, are slight favorites against Osasuna, who hold a 26% chance of winning in this La Liga clash. The model expects a closely contested match with an anticipated 1.20 to 0.85 goal advantage for the home side, yet the most likely scoreline remains 1-1. With only a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance both teams score, this encounter could hinge on tight margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Valencia 1–0 Osasuna
Oct 2022 Osasuna 1–2 Valencia