Sevilla vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 12 Mar, 15:15
Sevilla
21 Full time
Almeria
Sevilla 2–1 Almeria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 24%
Away 21%

💡 Sevilla are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1437 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Almeria

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1458 vs 1437).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sevilla
Form Index
Sevilla
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLWDLL0.8 ppg
AlmeriaLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1458
Almeria1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 25% · 17%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning49% · 27% · 24%

AI match preview

Sevilla enters this La Liga clash with a 55% chance to secure a home win against Almeria, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.83 to 0.92 in their favor. Although the model suggests a home victory is most probable, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With just over a 50% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.92

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Sevilla 2–1 Almeria
Aug 2022 Almeria 2–1 Sevilla