Girona vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Mon 13 Mar, 20:00
Girona
01 Full time
Ath Madrid
Girona 0–1 Ath Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 27%
Away 45%

💡 Ath Madrid have a slight edge — leaning Ath Madrid, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1488 v 1587 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1587 vs 1488).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaWLWWL1.8 ppg
Ath MadridDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1488
Ath Madrid1587
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 28% · 50%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning34% · 26% · 40%

AI match preview

Girona host Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance of victory, though a draw at 27% and a home win at 28% keep the outcome open. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.06 for Girona and 1.64 for Ath Madrid, making 1-1 the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, fans can anticipate a competitive match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.64

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Girona 0–1 Ath Madrid
Oct 2022 Ath Madrid 2–1 Girona