Valladolid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Fri 17 Mar, 20:00
Valladolid
13 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Valladolid 1–3 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 27%
Away 45%

💡 Ath Bilbao have a slight edge — leaning Ath Bilbao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1495 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valladolid v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1495 vs 1440).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Valladolid
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Valladolid

Green = favours Valladolid · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValladolidDLLWD1.0 ppg
Ath BilbaoWLLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Valladolid1440
Ath Bilbao1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 34% · 34%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning29% · 21% · 50%

AI match preview

Valladolid host Ath Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 45% chance of winning, according to the model. The expected goals are evenly matched around 1 each, suggesting a tight contest likely to produce few goals, with 0-0 as the most probable scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored at 68% and both teams scoring expected in just 42% of matches, this game could hinge on a single moment; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.02

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Valladolid 1–3 Ath Bilbao
Nov 2022 Ath Bilbao 3–0 Valladolid