Almeria vs Cadiz Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 13:00
Almeria
11 Full time
Cadiz
Almeria 1–1 Cadiz

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 24%

💡 Almeria are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1465 Cadiz rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Cadiz

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1429 vs 1465).
  • Cadiz is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cadiz
Form Index
Cadiz
Goal expectation
Almeria
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Cadiz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLLWLL0.6 ppg
CadizWLWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1429
Cadiz1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 26% · 14%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning50% · 29% · 21%

AI match preview

Almeria holds a slight statistical edge with a 48% chance to secure a home win against Cadiz, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.77 to 0.73. The model suggests a low-scoring affair, most likely finishing 1-0, with under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily finding the net. These projections offer insight but remember they are probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.77 – 0.73

Most likely score

1-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Almeria 1–1 Cadiz
Dec 2022 Cadiz 1–1 Almeria