Vallecano vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 15:15
Vallecano
22 Full time
Girona
Vallecano 2–2 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 27%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1478 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Girona

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1492 vs 1478).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDDLDL0.6 ppg
GironaLWWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1492
Girona1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 28% · 26%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning47% · 19% · 34%

AI match preview

Vallecano host Girona in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 25% and 27% respectively. The model projects a tight contest with expected goals favoring Vallecano 1.64 to 1.17, and a 1-1 scoreline emerging as the most probable outcome. With over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Vallecano 2–2 Girona
Dec 2022 Girona 2–2 Vallecano