Osasuna vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 15:15
Osasuna
03 Full time
Villarreal
Osasuna 0–3 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 29%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1511 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1485 vs 1511).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDLWDL1.0 ppg
VillarrealLLWWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1485
Villarreal1511
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 37% · 31%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning41% · 22% · 37%

AI match preview

Osasuna and Villarreal head into this La Liga clash with nearly even chances, as the model gives Villarreal a slight edge at 36% against Osasuna’s 35%, while a draw sits at 29%. Both teams are expected to produce low-scoring football, with an anticipated 0.88 and 0.85 goals respectively, making a 0-0 stalemate the most probable outcome. With only 25% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on tight defensive play—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Osasuna 0–3 Villarreal
Oct 2022 Villarreal 2–0 Osasuna