Valencia vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Mon 3 Apr, 21:00
Valencia
11 Full time
Vallecano
Valencia 1–1 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Valencia have a slight edge — leaning Valencia, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1490 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1451 vs 1490).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLWLWL1.2 ppg
VallecanoDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1451
Vallecano1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 31% · 23%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning38% · 21% · 41%

AI match preview

Valencia hold a slight edge with a 44% chance to win against Vallecano, who are pegged at 29%, while a draw is projected at 27%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Valencia scoring 1.37 and Vallecano 0.91, making a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome. With only a 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, this match could be closely contested; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Valencia 1–1 Vallecano
Sept 2022 Vallecano 2–1 Valencia