Vallecano vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 9 Apr, 21:00
Vallecano
12 Full time
Ath Madrid
Vallecano 1–2 Ath Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 26%
Away 50%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1613 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Ath Madrid

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1613 vs 1491).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLDLDD0.6 ppg
Ath MadridDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1491
Ath Madrid1613
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 33% · 47%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning33% · 17% · 51%

AI match preview

Vallecano hosts Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 50% chance of securing a win, with the model favoring a narrow 1-0 away victory. Expected goals stand at 0.75 for Vallecano and 1.27 for Ath Madrid, suggesting a tightly contested match with a low probability of high scoring or both teams finding the net. With a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% for BTTS, this game may lean towards a tactical battle—remember, these projections are statistical and to be used responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.75 – 1.27

Most likely score

0-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Vallecano 1–2 Ath Madrid
Oct 2022 Ath Madrid 1–1 Vallecano