Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Fri 14 Apr, 21:00
Vallecano
21 Full time
Osasuna
Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 29%
Away 25%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1472 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1482 vs 1472).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDLDDL0.6 ppg
OsasunaDLLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1482
Osasuna1472
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 36% · 27%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning52% · 30% · 18%

AI match preview

Vallecano hold a slight statistical edge over Osasuna with a 46% chance of victory and an expected goals tally of 0.99 compared to 0.82 for the visitors. Despite this, the model suggests a low-scoring affair, highlighting a 0-0 draw as the most probable outcome and only a 27% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. Both teams finding the net is also not highly favored, with a 37% probability, so fans should anticipate a tightly contested match. Remember, these projections are based on statistical models and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 0.82

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna
Sept 2022 Osasuna 2–1 Vallecano