Villarreal vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 15 Apr, 14:00
Villarreal
12 Full time
Valladolid
Villarreal 1–2 Valladolid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 20%
Away 13%

💡 Villarreal are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1563 v 1414 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Valladolid

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1563 vs 1414).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealWDWWW2.6 ppg
ValladolidWDLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1563
Valladolid1414
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model75% · 19% · 6%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning62% · 29% · 9%

AI match preview

Villarreal enter this La Liga clash as clear favorites with a 67% chance of securing a home win, backed by a strong confidence rating of 79/100. The model projects a 2-0 victory with an expected goals tally favoring Villarreal at 2.16 to Valladolid’s 0.51, suggesting a controlled performance from the hosts. There’s a moderate 50% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance both teams will score, highlighting a game likely dominated by Villarreal’s attack but with limited threat from Valladolid. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.16 – 0.51

Most likely score

2-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Villarreal 1–2 Valladolid
Aug 2022 Valladolid 0–3 Villarreal