Ath Madrid vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 16 Apr, 18:30
Ath Madrid
21 Full time
Almeria
Ath Madrid 2–1 Almeria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (75%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 75%
Draw 16%
Away 9%

💡 Ath Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 91.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 91.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1622 v 1442 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 3.0 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1622 vs 1442).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridWWWWW3.0 ppg
AlmeriaLLDDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1622
Almeria1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 15% · 7%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 17%
Machine-learning63% · 28% · 9%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid enter this La Liga clash with a strong 75% probability of securing a home win against Almeria, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.66 to 0.69. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 65% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals but only a 47% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections highlight Atletico's dominance, though football often defies predictions—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.66 – 0.69

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Ath Madrid 2–1 Almeria
Jan 2023 Almeria 1–1 Ath Madrid