Almeria vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 22 Apr, 16:15
Almeria
12 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Almeria 1–2 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 25%
Away 49%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1535 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1437).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLDDWL1.0 ppg
Ath BilbaoLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1437
Ath Bilbao1535
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 27% · 40%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning32% · 27% · 41%

AI match preview

Almeria hosts Ath Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 49%, though a draw remains a close possibility with a 25% chance. Both teams are projected to score, with a 62% probability of BTTS and a moderate expectation of 1.42 goals for Almeria and 1.58 for Bilbao, suggesting a competitive encounter. With over 2.5 goals at 58%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.58

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Almeria 1–2 Ath Bilbao
Sept 2022 Ath Bilbao 4–0 Almeria