Sociedad vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 22 Apr, 18:30
Sociedad
21 Full time
Vallecano
Sociedad 2–1 Vallecano

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 26%
Away 21%

💡 Sociedad are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1542 v 1490 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1542 vs 1490).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadDWLWL1.4 ppg
VallecanoLDDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1542
Vallecano1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 34% · 26%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning53% · 27% · 21%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad holds a 54% chance to claim victory over Rayo Vallecano in this La Liga clash, with a 26% probability for a draw and 21% for an away win. The model predicts a tight game with expected goals favoring Sociedad 1.12 to 0.85, yet the most likely scoreline remains 0-0, reflecting a potentially cautious encounter. With only a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a closely contested match; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Sociedad 2–1 Vallecano
Jan 2023 Vallecano 0–2 Sociedad