Valladolid vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 22 Apr, 18:30
Valladolid
10 Full time
Girona
Valladolid 1–0 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 26%
Away 38%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1504 Girona rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valladolid v Girona

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1504 vs 1431).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Valladolid

Green = favours Valladolid · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValladolidDLLDW1.0 ppg
GironaLDWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Valladolid1431
Girona1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 30% · 34%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning29% · 18% · 54%

AI match preview

Valladolid and Girona are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38%, compared to a 36% chance for the home side. Expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tight match with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, while both teams scoring is projected at 54%. With under 2.5 goals slightly more probable, this game could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Valladolid 1–0 Girona
Sept 2022 Girona 2–1 Valladolid