Ath Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Wed 26 Apr, 19:30
Ath Madrid
31 Full time
Mallorca
Ath Madrid 3–1 Mallorca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 22%
Away 12%

💡 Ath Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1619 v 1493 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1619 vs 1493).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridWWWWL2.4 ppg
MallorcaLDDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1619
Mallorca1493
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 26% · 14%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning57% · 35% · 8%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid enters this La Liga clash with Mallorca as clear favorites, holding a 67% probability of securing a home win, supported by a strong confidence rating of 79/100. The model projects a tight contest with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting Atletico's expected 1.73 goals against Mallorca’s 0.72. While under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring seem slightly more probable, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.72

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Ath Madrid 3–1 Mallorca
Nov 2022 Mallorca 1–0 Ath Madrid