Getafe vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Wed 26 Apr, 19:30
Getafe
12 Full time
Almeria
Getafe 1–2 Almeria

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 25%
Away 23%

💡 Getafe are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1427 Getafe rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Getafe v Almeria

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1459 vs 1427).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Getafe
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Getafe
Home advantage
Getafe

Green = favours Getafe · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GetafeWDLDL1.0 ppg
AlmeriaDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Getafe1459
Almeria1427
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 27% · 19%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning49% · 22% · 30%

AI match preview

Getafe are slightly favored at 52% to claim victory over Almeria, with a projected 1.68 to 0.90 expected goals advantage suggesting a competitive encounter. Despite the home edge, the model highlights a 25% chance of a draw and a balanced 50% probability for both teams to score, indicating potential for goals at both ends. While a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, the match could swing either way; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Getafe 1–2 Almeria
Nov 2022 Almeria 1–0 Getafe